6—7—04 sharkeater 欧元 （含澳元, 6/11 提示 p40)

	多谢鲨版.辛苦了!

	Hi, everybody, have you experieced a moment that can hear your heart beat?  Haha, hope all are alive and still hold AUD.   Like predicted in p48 sharp up and big fall. BE poing is 0.6912 now and price still around the box 0.6920-0.6930(sometimes lower but still acceptable) The unexpected down was caused by a big sell from UK.  Becareful, GBP.

	Originally posted by yidi at 2004-6-11 05:24 PM: Hi, everybody, have you experieced a moment that can hear your heart beat?  Haha, hope all are alive and still hold AUD.   Like predicted in p48 sharp up and big fall. BE poing is 0.6912 now and ... h:h:h: We caught the Sell chance of GBPUSD last night, entry level at 1.8425... almost 200 pips now!

	Be patient, AUD need time to accumulate the energy in his recharge box 0.6920-0.6930.  Refer to Sharkeater's chart for your further decision.

	今天澳元的走法确实超出了我的想象.我以为小4浪走到前段的0.618就会停住, 走小5浪上升, 没想到 它一直跌到0.6904. 但是我还是持有澳, 看过澳的周图,在2003.9.5日的底点和目前的底点他们的 指标已是明显的被离, 周线的背离是应会起作用的. 而且指标也都在底部了,已没有了太大的下降空间了. 再看看澳已跌了那么多, 从中线看,它是在低位并不在高位. 想想0.8000哪个危险呢? 我想我们做实盘 不应太频繁的交易, 能拿到相对的低位是好的. 另一方面, 当一个币大家都拼命抢买时, 它可能就快要跌了, 当一个币跌到没人敢买了它可能就快要涨了. 挣钱的船不会是那艘满满载客的那一个． （是的，　我们总是应有最坏的打算的那一步，　就是放止损　） 不知我想的对不对？　和持澳币的朋友共勉． [ Last edited by kuyi on 2004-6-11 at 05:54 PM ]

	Mr. yidi   what's the posibibility for AUD falling to 0.6800 or even further ?

	No figures for 0.67 yet. need buy's confidence level to calculate.  for 0.6750 P=0.23 (less possible) 0.6800 P=0.39 (take consideration) 0.6850 P=0.41(causully happen) 0.6900 P=0.52(certainly happen) 0.6950 P=0.69 high confidence happen 0.7000 P=0.43 (causully happen) Time Length 24 hrs

	Sorry not as clear as Sharkeater's chart

	Originally posted by yidi at 2004-6-11 06:04 PM: No figures for 0.67 yet. need buy's confidence level to calculate.  for 0.6750 P=0.23 (less possible) 0.6800 P=0.39 (take consideration) 0.6850 P=0.41(causully happen) 0.6900 P=0.52(certainly ... great !  thank you sir .

	还想说的是，我们不能做一次错犯一次错误就将＂倾家荡产＂．那个做法是很成问题的．至少是太 透支生命了，不值啊！