7-7-05 ?á?????????§???????? II ???? BARR·?×?????

发表于 2005-7-7 08:06


	?é??????????·?×????? ???? Bump and Run Reversal (BARR) BARR????????·?×???????????×÷??????·?×?????????????×÷???×??·?×?????????Thomas Bulkowski ??1997?ê?ù??·??? Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities ?????á???????????????ù??????Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns?·, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 1st ed. 2000, 2nd ed. 2005, ISBN 0-471-29525-6, ???é???? ??????????????????±??°?????????????????ú?????????????ò?????ò???ò????×????????????ì??BARR ??????°?Bulkowski?é????????????·????×?? ???? LEAD-IN?×????BUMP?×???????°RUN?×???????????????????????ú?ì????×?????Bulkowski?á???????ó±?????????±??????????????????±???????????????é?????ó?????§????×??ó?????????????????????? 80 ???? 90%????????????×????????????????????????????????????±???ò????????????????????±????????????????? ???????×??·?×?????????×÷???ê?????÷?? ????????????±? BARR ?×??·?×????? ???? ???????????????????????????????????????????????ó?????????????????°?§?????????????à???????×???×???????¨??????????????????????·????×?????????????????×???????????????±?????×????????????×???×????×???????????????? 1?? LEAD ?? IN PHASE ???????????????×???????????????×???????????×?????????±???????????????à??????????°?±ú???ù??????±??????¨????????30??×ó???????????????????ó???ó?????ì???????????????????????????????????????????????ó????????????????×????????????×???????????í???ú?ú???????????????×??×÷???????ò???????±?????¤?? ?????×?????????????????????×?????????????????????????¨?????¨???????×????×????????????????±×??ó????????·??? 2?? BUMP PHASE?? ?????×???????????????à??????????±????×????·??????????????ù????·?????±???????????????????·????ì?????????¨??????45 ????60????±??????×???????????????ó??°??¨????50%??????????????????????·ù???¨???????????????????ó?????÷????×???·??????????±?????????ú???????????ì????????×??????§?ó?????????????×?????ú?ú?×?????????¨???????à???????????×???????????±???????????ò?????????????????????á?????à?????????×???????????ó??????????????×????×???¨????BUMP PHASE ??????????????×÷??????????×????×??????×??????????ò?????????ó?????±?á???????????ó?????ü20 ?? 30??×ó?????§?????????ó???????????¨???????????????????ì???????????×???????????????????????×???????????????????ù??????±??????????????????×???ú?ú????????????????×??????????????±???ì??×÷???????????????ú?ú???????????????ú????·??¨?????????????????????????????????±??±?????????????????????×????????????×??????????????±????????????????¨???????ó?????? 3?? UPHILL RUN PHASE???????×????????????×???BUMP PHASE ?×???????ó?????????×???????????ó?????ú?ú???¨???????é?? BARR ????·?×?????????±??????×??·?×?????????±??à????????·??ò?ò?à·?????????????·?×????????????×???§?????????????ó±????????????×??·?×??????ò???????×???????????????????????ó?? ????????????±?????????????????±?????·?×??????????????í??????±????×??·?×??????????????????????????????????????????ó?????????÷???????????????ó????×÷?????????????????????????????????????????ó?? ?????é???????÷?? ?±???é??????????????????±?????????????·??????ó?????ú????·????????????×????????????????????????BUMP PHASE ???????????????????????????????ì??×÷?????????????????ó???????????????????ú????·???BUMP PHASE ?ì??????/?????×?????ú?ú??????/?????????????????????ó??????/?????¨RUN PHASE ??, ????????·????????? ????BUMP PHASE ??????/?§???????????????????×??????????/?§???????????¨?????????¨?×???????????????ì???ù???????±?????÷???????????????????????ì?? ?????×??/???????????????????????????¨????????????70%?à???????±???ú?ú?????????????ò?????????????????????á???????????????????????à?????×?????à???????????????? ???????????????§?????????????°???????????????±??????????????×??????????ó?????????????·???????????§???????????????°×è??×??????§?????ò???§??×?????×è???±?ú?ú???????? 5????????????×???·?×??ó??????????±ê?¨??????±ê???????????×????????????????±ê???????·?¨?? 6?????????????????ó???±???ò?????? ?????÷???????? ??BARR ?×??·?×???Bulkowski ???á???±????????360????????×????????? * 161???ú?ú???????×????199???ú?ú???÷??·?×??? ?§°???%???????????????×???????????????ó???????§°??????ó??9%?¨32???????????????????????§°??????ó??19%?¨67?????? ??????????×??????????ú×????ò????????????±ê??????92%??( 271??/293??)?? * ???????ù?????±????5???????????????????????×?????ù???????à???? * ?????????×?×????78% ?¨279?????? * ?????????ú?ú????????BUMP PHASE ??????52????14%?? * ?????ó???·??%??38% ?¨136???????ê?????·?????ù?±????13?????×???? * ??×???????????BUMP PHASE ??????????28%?? * ??BUMP PHASE ?????????ù????·ù????37%??×??ó??????20%×ó???? ???????×???????? 1?? ??±ê?????????¨???????????¨×????????±???????????????????????????×?????????????????á???????????????ó????????????±ê?????? 2?? ?÷?÷???????¨???????????????????×????????/?§?????ó?é???? 3?? ?????????¨????±ê???????°???????ü?????????????????ü?????????????÷?????????????ò?????????????°???????ü??????????

发表于 2005-7-7 09:03


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发表于 2005-7-7 10:51


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发表于 2005-7-7 15:32


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发表于 2005-7-7 16:01


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发表于 2005-7-7 16:37


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发表于 2005-7-7 17:09


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发表于 2005-7-7 19:37


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发表于 2005-7-8 03:09


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发表于 2005-7-9 10:06


	·???????. ???????è°????????????ó,?×????????????????×???BUMP?×???????ó. ??????????????·????ó,?ò?±???ó??·ü?ì×????÷??????±ù?ò?÷??. ??????LEAD-IN?×?????????±?ú,??BUMP?×?????????±?ú,??·???????????????????·???. ??·????è????.????

7-7-05 ?á?????????§???????? II ???? BARR·?×?????

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论坛贡献

论坛贡献