Free talk, Where AUD should go?

yidi · 发表于 2004-6-15 16:10

Tigerbite, you are right, change is constance.

tigerbite · 发表于 2004-6-15 16:16

if you look at weekly chart, AUD has done a perfect break_bounce_confirm of break_downtrend at0.7170/80. Therefore, the bearish tone was already set long time ago at that level, not only at this point!

sxjin · 发表于 2004-6-15 16:17

Originally posted by tigerbite at 2004-6-15 04:02 PM:
well, you may not like the idea of a break but what i mean is, when a trend is going through, you may need to rewire your brain before it is too late.

I know what you mean.But mine is not the deposit.It needs much charge in my trading.

Thank you for giving us such a good advice!

[ Last edited by sxjin on 2004-6-15 at 04:43 PM ]

hkd · 发表于 2004-6-15 16:26

Originally posted by yidi at 2004-6-15 04:09 PM:
Sorry for inconvinence, I will type Mandarin when I use my laptop. Could anyone tell me how to capture a picture from Unix?. I cann't capture and paste.

Try xv, sdtimage (solaris) or snapshot (openwin)

zhangjiarong · 发表于 2004-6-15 16:31

很想了解虎版及YIDI对外汇市场的看法，只是学俄语的，一点看不懂，很遗憾。

soonway · 发表于 2004-6-15 16:34

从欧元的形态看，上升的态势并没有遭到破坏，依然有可能站上1.2150甚至2450，只有欧元跌破1.1890/1910，才可以确认美元继续升势；

作为跟随者和高息货币代表，澳元的走势有相对独立的一面，也有随波逐流的一面；如果欧元出现上升态势，澳元很可能跟随。况且，4小时图形成的隐含反弹要求依然存在。

0.6790/6810的支持位确实很关键，但是个人认为，确认突破有效不但要看价格是否穿越，而且要看欧元的走势是否支持。因此如果突破这个支持位后市场没有出现大幅度的下跌，就要留意做多澳元的机会，止损点放在6765/50之间。

个人观点，请指教

tigerbite · 发表于 2004-6-15 16:38

那么, 昨天欧元反弹到1.2080/2105的阻力, 为什么AUD却没有反弹, 而单边下跌到目前的位置? 请教.

大山 · 发表于 2004-6-15 16:53

回测69附近是空奥的最好的机会!
欧员随后也会下跌! 看今天的回测目标后...,同样要跌到17到18去的!最后跌到什么地方.再观察!

tigerbite · 发表于 2004-6-15 16:57

我的观察是, 既然AUD已经下跌超过了上次大浪上涨幅度的62%, 那么100%的回撤是完全合理的. 也就是说, 中期AUD的目标在0.6330/40附近.

yidi · 发表于 2004-6-15 16:59

昨天是澳州的长周末, HAPPY BIRTHDAY TO QUEEN. 大家伙们都休息了, 都等今天的数据. 大部分家伙就我所知拿的都0.6760-0.6780, 都不急, 有极少买家在场上测试市场动力. 这在A 银行的simulator中P=0.85准预测到. 银行也不急. 只有单边跌的份, 看沙班的跟贴你会了解基本情况的