展望2012美指动态

国际主要信用评级机构标准普尔公司13日宣布下调法国等9个欧元区国家的长期信用评级，称欧元区目前所出台的政策仍不足以遏制主权债务危机的进一步蔓延。
标普当天发表声明宣布了对除希腊以外的所有16个欧元区国家的信用评估结果。其中，法国和奥地利丧失了最高的3A评级，被下调一个等级至AA＋；意大利、西班牙和葡萄牙的主权信用评级均被下调了两个级别。

大家早

  沒人說話

不知欧元能不能下破2600

EURUSD was sold to lower levels for an 11th week in succession last week against a background of bearish signals for sentiment for this quarter. This took prices to the most negative levels traded for 17-months. Although net losses were minor and only determined by Friday’s sharp reversal in sentiment from the week's highs, the move emphasises the underlying bearish tone.

In view of this our call is Bearish below 1.2881. The immediate objective is 1.2588, August 2010 low, with a move below that point targeting 1.2533, a 78% pullback of the 2010-11 rise, or even towards a projected 1.2386.

The risk to this call is that selling pressure stalls though a fresh outright Buy signal would only be generated by a move through 1.2881, Friday’s peak. Prices and sentiment should then improve to 1.3077 and 1.3199, the 2 & 4 week highs.

EURUSD was sold to lower levels for an 11th week in succession last week against a background of bea ...
风里雾里雨里 发表于 2012-1-16 13:40

                               
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法国终于还是被踢出3A序列啦，排除美元因素还真不知道针对欧债还有什么可炒作的（各位也帮着想想）

技术面预期以下几条路，各位也看看哪种路径比较合适
2012.01.13低探1.2623  本周开盘低开于1.2645   现报：1.2645

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回复 169# 小索
     上周受本季度看跌情绪影响，欧元/美元遭抛售已连续第11周走低，跌至17个月来的最低水平。净跌幅虽然不是很大，且是由上周五大幅回撤来决定，但还是显示出下行基调强烈。
   因此，在1.2881下方持看跌情绪。初步目标为2010年8月低点1.2588，然后是1.2533（2010至2011年升浪的78%回档）或是1.2386。
  但若卖压停滞，并出现新的买盘，那么上破1.2881后的看涨目标将指向1.3077和1.3199（分别为2周和4周来的高点）。
    这个策略并没有很好的风险回报比，但我觉得思路简洁明朗，也没多想就转来了