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	回复 1883# ForexGG 看了GG的贴，发觉收益良多。GG一定是走了不少弯路才到现在的水平的吧，请问GG用了多长时间？成功之前一直是模拟仓玩玩吗？另外，今天的三角形突破是真突破还是假突破吗？

	回复  ForexGG 看了GG的贴，发觉收益良多。GG一定是走了不少弯路才到现在的水平的吧，请问GG用了多长时间 ... relaxed 发表于 2011-10-21 12:36                                 登录/注册后可看大图     从未玩过模拟 从一开始都是真枪真弹。3年是个坎，5年差不多就可以慢慢玩了。说的是我这种比较愚笨的。

	回复  ForexGG 看了GG的贴，发觉收益良多。GG一定是走了不少弯路才到现在的水平的吧，请问GG用了多长时间 ... relaxed 发表于 2011-10-21 12:36                                 登录/注册后可看大图     你问最后一句就回答了问题。做三角形突破，要坚决挂止损。 因为三角形，经常不是突破。最好不要在边缘做。离开边缘会好一些，尤其是基本面有重大消息在等待的情况下。 所以，技术形态一直valid的不是很多。很多技术形态，也不太靠谱。马后炮的居多。

	你问最后一句就回答了问题。做三角形突破，要坚决挂止损。 因为三角形，经常不是突破。最好不要 ... ForexGG 发表于 2011-10-22 02:45                                 登录/注册后可看大图 GG你觉得做金融的（这里就是指做交易）以后有什么前途？比如我现在个人投资者，以后想去再学一个学位（不管学士、硕士）都可以。我的梦想是做一个受雇比较稳定交易员，比如银行里什么的，工资+奖金不低。明年要回新西兰，和美国比金融市场小不少，以GG的经验，或者同龄人的经验，去读一个金融的硕士有希望进交易员吗？或者反过来说，要成为一个银行或者基金的较高交易员需要什么条件？

	现在招聘交易员的比比皆是，国内就很多。一般都是3个月试用期，通过了，就没问题了。除非你做分析师，交易员工资一般不高，奖金是自己赚来的。这个行业就是很残酷。 读个硕士不是不可，可以到银行工作，非常稳定。不一定非得做交易员，交易员的工作是最刺激最不稳定的。 就看你想干啥了。想好自己想干啥，喜欢干啥，一步一步去实现。 如果3年内，你能把2万美元变成100万。华尔街的人自动来找你工作。你去自己拉资金都没问题。 不是忽悠，我知道有个人做到了。

	周末EU峰会，但是到周三才会宣布结果。 为什么拉这么长战线？ 这说明计划很可能是comprehensive的，所以 ... ForexGG 发表于 2011-10-21 23:59                                 登录/注册后可看大图 我好奇的是，究竟怎样的计划才能一劳永逸的解决债务问题，满足市场的期望

	或许，欧盟计划无限量提供资金给债务国，免息的。。。

	我好奇的是，究竟怎样的计划才能一劳永逸的解决债务问题，满足市场的期望 wildfire 发表于 2011-10-21 13:10                                 登录/注册后可看大图     我也好奇，给你看看 1)      What to Do with Greece Given that the latest problems stem from the possibility of a Greek default, it is the number one priority for the EU.  Based upon their current fiscal finances, it will be impossible for Greece to meet their near and medium term financing obligations.  As a result, a haircut needs to be imposed on bond holders, which would reduce the amount of money that they would receive in return. Back in July, a haircut of 21 percent was agreed upon but according to EZ finance ministers Greek bondholders may have to settle for a cut between 50 and 60 percent.  A smaller haircut will be short term positive for banks but long term negative for risk because it would still leave Greece vulnerable to missing future debt payments. A deeper haircut on the other hand will mean greater upfront losses for banks which could hurt equities but will be a more sustainable solution to the sovereign debt crisis in the long run. If the troika decides to release the sixth tranche of aid to Greece, it would also lend support to the euro.    2 )   How to Handle the Losses that Banks will Incur Larger haircuts mean further losses for banks that are already suffering from unwillingness by investors to provide short term funding.  To boost investor confidence, the EU may force banks to increase their core capital ratio from 5 to 9 percent within the next six months.   Banks that are unable to reach the capital requirement could be forced to accept government capital, which effectively nationalizes the banks. In response, banks have announced plans to sell assets and reduce lending which would help cut their need for recapitalization.  Unfortunately that may not be enough to attract investors in the private sector.   A strong recapitalization plan is needed to stabilize investor confidence.  The number floated being floated around is approximately $100 billion. Anything short of that will be negative for the euro.  Banks will most likely be asked to find ways to recapitalize themselves through private capital first, which could be a challenge because private investments are hard to come by in this type of market environment.   3)   How to Protect the Rest of the Region from Contagion The third issue that the EU needs to address is how to protect the rest of the region from contagion.  One way would be to increase the size of the EFSF but given the amount of time it took to boost the fund to EUR400 billion, expanding it to 2 trillion euros would be an even greater challenge.   One way to skirt around the political, legal and financial difficulties of increasing the EFSF outright would be to lever the EFSF by guaranteeing initial losses up to 20 percent of the face value on the loans.  This is a plan that is supported by many in the region including the Germans. The larger the first loss insurance, the more positive it will be for the euro. The French want to give the EFSF a credit line from the ECB but opposition from the central bank and the German government makes the chance of this happening slim. After accounting for the current commitments, the EFSF only has about EUR 270 billion left for leverage, which is just enough to cover 20 percent of the gross funding needs for Italy, Spain and Belgium.

	Earlier this week, there were talks that Germany and France have agreed on a EUR2 trillion rescue fund for Europe that would involve both bank recapitalizations and levering up the EFSF.  Although German and French officials have denied that a EUR2 trillion bailout package is in the works, 2 trillion will be magic number for investors in the week to come.   If the eventual rescue is smaller than that amount, it could prove to be disappointing to investors.  If it meets or exceeds 2 trillion, expect the euro to trade sharply higher as short euro traders rush to cover their positions.