| | | | 本帖最后由 ForexGG 于 2011-6-20 18:20 编辑
欧元谨慎看多。
尤其是等待希腊问题的最终方案。同时关注 TED Spread和VIX。
对于美元同时关注明天的美国房屋数据,预期5月份会大幅下滑。
While waiting on Greece, it will be important to watch 3 things – the Swiss Franc, the TED spread and the VIX.
The franc will tell us whether investors remain nervous and today’s price action indicates they are even though the euro is unchanged against the U.S. dollar. The TED spread measures the difference between the LIBOR rate and 3 month Treasury bills. The wider the spread, the more premium banks require to lend to each other. The TED spread rose slightly today which suggests that banks are more nervous about counterparty risk. The VIX on the other hand which measures the volatility in the stock market declined which implies that equity traders feel more comfortable with taking on risk. In the coming days, it will be important to keep an eye on these various instruments because they can provide insight on days when the sentiment in the market is unclear. The only piece of U.S. data is existing home sales and unfortunately for risk, sales are expected to have declined sharply in the month of May. | | | | |
|