9月9日欧元机构观点汇总(亚市)

发表于 2016-9-9 14:42


	富曼欧外汇　　昨晚上在ECB的会议后，欧元(1.1270, 0.0006, 0.05%)节节攀升，显示对于相对平静消息面的一种反映，不过随后出现了大幅度下跌，从技术面看应该是冲顶回落，至少短期涨势告一段落。典型的上涨无力（15分钟级别）。操作上笔者认为今天以箱体震荡的态度去对待，关键位置在1.1272.在1.1272上方20点内可以找机会做空，当然要结合RSI指标去寻找一些短线极限点，止损可以放在1.1312.下行的空间也就是箱体底部在1.1240附近。由于是周五，不建议持有到周一，当周解决比较安全。　　邦达亚洲　　欧元昨日冲高后回落，日线小幅收涨，现汇价交投于1.1270附近。欧洲央行隔夜利率维稳符合市场预期，但欧洲央行行长德拉基表示暂时不需要推出额外刺激出乎市场预料，一度支撑欧元冲高并接近2周高位。不过好景不长，在获利回吐和美元指数(94.9443, -0.0512, -0.05%)因良好经济数据而反弹的打压下，欧元回吐了日内的大部分涨幅。今日关注1.1350附近的压力情况，下方支撑在1.1200附近。　　兴业投资　　周四全球市场焦点都集中在欧洲央行利率决议上，但结果却令人失望，欧元/美元冲高回落，小幅收高于1.1270附近。欧洲央行如预期维持三大利率和购债计划不变，并小幅上调欧元区今年GDP增长预期。在之后的新闻发布会上，欧央行行长德拉吉表示，必要时将延长购债期限至明年3月之后，必要时将动用一切可用工具，为进一步宽松打开大门，但同时也指出，本次会议没有讨论延长购债时间，目前欧元区不需要实施更多刺激。市场原本预计欧央行可能延长购债计划以及德拉吉将给出进一步宽松暗示的预期落空，令市场感到失望，推动时段内欧元一度大涨，最高上探了两周高点1.1326。但总体上看来，欧央行对进一步宽松持开放态度的立场并无变化，加之数日来油价跳升，有望推高美国通胀预期，进而提升对美联储升息前景的押注，随后欧元/美元很快回吐涨幅，几乎跌回原形，尾盘仅升0.2%左右。然而，在这种情况下，由于欧央行推动欧元贬值的"弹药"正在缓慢但又难以避免地耗尽，中长期欧元有可能继续走高。欧央行决议落幕后，市场将重回基本面，关注德国7月贸易帐、美联储官员罗森格伦等讲话。　　技术上，欧元/美元4小时图显示汇价在1.1240/50获得初步支持，为近期跌势的50%回档位所在，也守住所有均线。不过技术指标超买回撤，目前走低，位于正区域。汇价短期支持位于1.1210/20，只要守住于此，跌势有限，突破1.1300将有新的买兴，汇价将重测8月顶部1.1366。　　支持位：1.1215/1.1160/1.1120 　　阻力位：1.1285/1.1330/1.1365

发表于 2016-9-10 06:13


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发表于 2016-9-10 06:15


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