黄金或会下行测试1340-1338支撑

从美联储周四凌晨公布的会议纪要内容来看，各委员对于就业方面是否会存有放缓迹象有所忧虑，第二季度就业数据虽然总体体现稳定增长，但总体相比较第一季度来讲还是有所放缓。同时，其他相关数据也没有体现足够的积极信号，加息决定需要更多审慎考虑。

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased briskly in June, but the increase for the second quarter as a whole was noticeably slower than in the first quarter. The unemployment rate rose to 4.9 percent in June, partly reversing its decline in the previous month. The labor force participation rate edged up in June, while the employment-to-population ratio edged down. The share of workers employed part time for economic reasons declined in June after a similarly sized increase in May. The rate of private-sector job openings declined in May, albeit from an elevated level, and the rates of hires and of quits were both unchanged. The four-week moving average of initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits remained low through mid-July. Average hourly earnings for all employees increased 2-1/2 percent over the 12 months ending in June.


结合最近美国大选中的状况来看，目前特朗普的竞选策略会有所调整，特别是在言语表达方面会改进为更温和，照顾人感受的风格，或会对其选情方面会带来些帮助。


结合美元指数的价格走势来看，较大概率测试下方92低位，若突破或会进一步下方89-88低位。在此之前，或会先在94支撑处有所反弹。


黄金处于收敛整顿走势当中，日内初步计划，价格会下行测试1340-1338区间，企稳后可以进场做多。