也谈日元

原帖由 货币研究 于 2007-9-10 09:34 发表

                               
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我半夜买了200万日圆，哈哈

上周五吗？还是今天？

原帖由 货币研究 于 2007-9-10 09:35 发表

                               
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理由：所有交叉盘均显示下跌。所谓“头肩顶”是假象。

谨慎

原帖由 货币研究 于 2007-9-10 10:20 发表

                               
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技术面不论什么货币，所有交叉盘均显示加元将下跌，这是异乎寻常的。由此推断加元最近或有暴跌。

是吗，等我看看

我的看盘软件加元叉盘有好几种数据有问题，不过我看澳元/加元却还是在跌，英镑/加元短期有上升的欲望，但长期走势仍旧堪忧。唯有加元/日元看跌，这就是可以看出来在今后一段时期哪个货币可以独霸天下了，因原先最强的货币是加元。

и礚盼よ稰△11450 ?        △11250 ?

ê娩诀穦?

我无晒方向感→11450 ?        →11250 ?

那边机会大?

Japanese GDP printed at a woeful –1.2% for Q2 as opposed to projections of  –0.7% decline as private consumption collapsed to –0.3% from 0.1% initially forecast. The news erased any chance of a rate hike from the BOJ at the upcoming monetary policy meeting on September 18th  and in fact put into doubt the possibility of further rate hikes for the rest of the year. The interest rates on the yen therefore will likely remain extremely low at 0.5%, making the writing obituaries for the carry trade such as the one that was done by UK Times over the week-end, a bit premature. Nevertheless, should US equities slide  further today testing the 13,000 handle on the Dow USDJPY will most assuredly decline once again.  Presently, yen appreciation only comes as a result of carry trade liquidation while the fundamental picture in Japans provides absolutely no support to yen bulls.

日元填补了缺口，失去了一次跳跃性升值的机会，填补缺口并不能改变中长期方向。预计很快进行南下