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cosmo 发表于 2011-8-24 06:09

:time:

ForexGG 发表于 2011-8-24 21:12

USD: Treading Water Ahead of Jackson Hole

ForexGG 发表于 2011-8-24 21:12

Pull up your daily charts & its clear that despite the "intraday Vol" in FX everything is stuck in a tight range - waiting for Big Ben

ForexGG 发表于 2011-8-24 21:12

The Q is, will Jackson Hole 2011 be a redux of JH 2010 where Fed laid groundwork for QE2 which began 2 months later?

ForexGG 发表于 2011-8-24 21:13

Like 2010, economy is weak but UNLIKE 2010, we are not talking about deflation risk right now

ForexGG 发表于 2011-8-24 21:13

Fed has 5 choices

1) Do nothing

2) Extend 2013 Pledge to Securities Portfolio

3) Operation Twist

4) Cut Rates on Reserves

5) QE3

ForexGG 发表于 2011-8-24 21:17

the market has become far too reliant on the fed - it's dangerous

ForexGG 发表于 2011-8-24 21:17

an operation twist that will do nothing....

ForexGG 发表于 2011-8-24 21:18

本帖最后由 ForexGG 于 2011-8-24 07:19 编辑

Maybe 1 for now - & will have to do 2,4 &5 later in the year when US slows down much more or EU explodes - whichever earlier

and this is Def possible. We have seen too many episodes in recent history of the market pushing companies and countries into the abyss

ForexGG 发表于 2011-8-24 21:20

今天黄金如果给机会，降到1800之下，就收手。:cool:

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