避险？

发表于 2011-6-17 20:34


	看得懂的就看。 Market rumours of a new EUR 150Bln bailout for Greece sparked short-covering in EUR/USD, with the speculation reinforced by the latest Franco/German rhetoric on the need for a "quick" agreement on a rescue. Add into the equation the potential for position adjusting ahead of the weekend EcoFin meeting and EUR/USD has managed to recover to just shy of the 1.43s into the North American open/crossover. North Asian reserve manager Euro buying limited the downside overnight and this combined with expectations of further official buying in the 1.40s left the Euro consolidating into the European return. Several layers of stops have also been removed intraday, allowing the short market to settle, despite the rational that persistent Greek debt/default worries will keep the single currency pressured in the longer-term. Looking ahead, a move into the 1.43s cannot be ruled out should the Euro extend its recovery against the Dollar and on the crosses. US data will generate short-run volatility into the weekly close but it will be concrete news of a potential rescue that will define if EUR/USD is able to retrace back into the 1.44s into the new week.

发表于 2011-6-17 20:42

发表于 2011-6-17 20:55


	看得懂的就看。 Market rumours of a new EUR 150Bln bailout for Greece sparked short-covering in ... ForexGG 发表于 2011-6-17 20:34 登录/注册后可看大图 google翻译，看的懂的就看：一个新的欧元，希腊150Bln救助市场传闻引发了欧元/美元空头回补，与最新的法/德修辞钢筋为“快速”的协议，需要救援的猜测。入方程进行位置调整添加在周末前财长会议上，欧元/美元已经成功地恢复到刚在1.43s害羞进入北美开/交叉潜力。北亚洲储备经理欧元购买有限的缺点，这与隔夜进一步在1.40s官方购买的期望离开欧元进入欧洲返回巩固相结合。几层的站也被拆除盘中，使短期市场来解决，尽管理性的，即持续的希腊债务/默认的担忧将保持单一货币的长期压力。展望未来，到1.43s动不能排除如果欧元兑美元扩大和恢复上的十字架。美国数据将生成到每周接近短期波动，但将是一个潜在的救援，将定义如果欧元/美元能够折回到1.44s放回新的一周的具体消息。

lbs007 · 发表于 2011-6-17 20:55


	Due to the uncertainty surrounding Greek Sovereign debt crisis, the EUR/USD reversed its course and traded sideways since June 9, which we determined by Bollinger Bands. If the pair continued to trade lower amid the economic turned political struggle, it should find its first support at the psychologically significant 1.4000. Once broken away from that level, the next major support would be at 1.3816, where the 200-day moving average lies. On the other hand, should the euro garnered enough upward momentum boosted by the resolution between German and French leaders, the pair would find the first level of resistance at 1.4451, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. We drew our Fibonacci retracement from the pair’s low on Jan 9 to the high on May 3 – a move more than 2000pips. Once broke away from 1.4451, the second major resistance level lies at 1.4743 - the second deviation Bollinger Band.

发表于 2011-6-17 20:58

lbs007 · 发表于 2011-6-17 21:01


	Merkel's willingness to cooperate proving very + for eur - HOPE driving the day and not FEAR

发表于 2011-6-17 21:02

发表于 2011-6-17 21:03

lbs007 · 发表于 2011-6-18 00:01


	本帖最后由 ForexGG 于 2011-6-17 10:03 编辑小时图欧元到达关键位了。超买 + 21日均线 + 上次跌破的支撑位 + 下降趋势线 + 61.8%的回调位。

发表于 2011-6-18 00:04