new117 发表于 2009-9-11 22:13

做一笔交易前,首先要想好这笔交易的周期大概是多久,损失大概愿意承担多少,然后再开头寸。

LIUBANK 发表于 2009-9-11 22:31

外汇很好可玩
既是投资,也是游戏.
不要只看赚钱,要看学到的知识
亏了不要紧,赚了要分析
勿投大资金

LIUBANK 发表于 2009-9-11 22:37

短线当游戏
中线是投资
长线是存款
要想学知识建议玩短线
要想作投资建议投中线
不想钱发霉建议看长线

LIUBANK 发表于 2009-9-11 22:38

61# jyf


61楼的
不要讲脏话,和谐论坛!!!
多谢合作!!

willieloke 发表于 2009-9-11 22:44

这是我从别的外汇网页多年来断断续续收集而来的<<交易箴言>>, 不知道是否能用?

Above all be mentally prepared for the rigors of each trading day from the time you get up each morning until you go to bed at night.
最重要的是在精神上对每个交易日的严峻场面作好准备,从每天早晨你爬起来,一直到晚上回到床上。

A bull market needs to be fed every day , a bear market only once a week.
牛市需要每天为它提供给养;熊市只需要一个星期为它提供一次给养。

A fatal mistake made by the fundamental trader is to take small profits. This is the result of limited vision ??? extremes always seem silly to men of so called good judgment.
初学交易的人的一个致命的错误是稍有赢利就出手。这是目光短浅的结果——对所谓的明智的人来说,走极端总是愚蠢的。

A known fundamental is a useless fundamental.
人人皆知的基本原理是毫无用处的基本原理。

A man must believe in himself and his judgment if he expects to make a living at this game.
如果有人想在这场游戏里生存,他必须相信自己和自己的判断力。

Assimilate into your very bones a set of trading rules that works for you.
让你每根骨头的骨髓里都渗透一套对你有用的交易规则。

Avoid getting in or out of the market too often.
进出市场不要过于频繁。

Avoid overconfidence——it could be your greatest enemy.
不要过分自信——它会成为你最大的仇敌。

Be advised that it is better to be more interested in the market’s reaction to new information than in the piece of news itself.
最好是记住,与其对一则新闻本身感兴趣,不如对市场对该则新消息的反应感兴趣。

Believe that the big one is possible ——be there when it starts. Have the gross power to act, be rested mentally and physically, and finally let your profits run and cut your losses quickly.
相信不可能的未必不可能——一旦不可能确实发生了,不至于手忙脚乱。让综合的力量自己行动,精神上和肉体上都休息充分,最终让你的利润滚动,迅速地砍掉你的损失。

Believe that the market is stronger than you are. Do not try to fight the market.
相信市场比你要强大。不要试图与市场作对。

Beware of fools disease (i.e. Waiting for trades that you are sure are 100 pct profitable.) It is better never to let yourself believe that you are 100 pct sure of anything.
警惕愚人病(也就是等待那些你百分之百肯定会赢利的交易)。你最好别让你自己相信你能对任何一件事百分之百地肯定。

Beware of large positions that can control your emotions and feelings. In other words don’t be overly aggressive with the market. Treat it gently by allowing your equity to grow steadily rather than in bursts.
对那些会控制你情绪波动的大头寸保持警惕,也就是说,在市场上不要过分冒进。与其暴赢,不如缓进,稳扎稳打地积累资产。

Beware of trying to pick tops or bottoms.
挑选底部和顶部时要小心。

Bullish consensus is typically at its high when the market is at a top. Also there are few bulls at major bottoms.
典型地说,当市场在顶部时,异口同声地看多的人最多;在重大的底部时,很少有人持牛市的观点。

Capital preservation is just as important as capital appreciation.
资本保存同资本增值一样要紧。

Commodities are never too high to begin buying or too low to begin selling. But after the initial transaction, don’t make a second unless the first shows a profit.
商品没有高到不该再买的时候,也没有低到不该再卖的时候。不过,在最初的转手后,除非第一手交易获利了,不要再做第二手。

Commodity trading is the art of regarding fear as the greatest sin and giving up as the greatest mistake. It is the art of accepting failure as a step toward victory.
期货交易是一门把恐惧看作是最大的罪恶,把放弃看作是最大的错误的艺术。它是一门把接受失败看作是向胜利走近一步的艺术。

Continually set higher trading goals.
不断设定更高的交易目标。

Continually strive for patience, perseverance, determination, and rational action.
不断地为耐心、毅力、决断和理性的行为作努力。

Don’t diversify , concentrate on a few commodities. More diversity reduces amount you can speculate with. Also too much to watch.
不要撒芝麻在几种商品上。分布过散会减少你能用以投机的数量。况且要看管的太多。

Don’t ever allow a big winning trade to turn into a loser. Stop yourself out if market moves against you 20% from your peak profit point.
永远不要让一场大赢的交易转变为输家。如果市场使你的赢利从最高处下滑了20%,止损出市。

Do not collect the opinions of others before entering trades——facts are priceless——opinions are worthless. In short successful traders isolate themselves from the opinions of others.
不要在还没进入交易以前就到处征求意见——事实价值无穷、意见一文不值。简单地说,成功的交易者不为别人的意见所左右。

Do not sell a quiet market after a fall because a low volume sell-off is actually a very bullish situation.
不要在一个刚经过跌落的安静的市场里卖。因为低流量的跌市实际上是一个非常看多的处境。

Don’t pioneer highs or lows. Let the market tell you a high or low has been made.
不要在高处或低处打冲锋。让市场告诉你什么是新高或新低。

Do whatever is necessary to stay on top of the markets you are trading.
竭尽全力,停留在你所交易的市场的顶部。

Dream big dreams and think tall. Very few people set goals too high. A man becomes what he thinks about all day long.
大胆做梦,敢于想象。很少有人把目标设得过高。一个人从早到晚在思考什么,他最终就变成什么

Every sunken ship has a chart.
没有一艘沉船是不备有图表的。

Expand your sources for market info but limit your sources for market opinion.
扩充你的市场信息来源;限制你的市场意见来源。

Expect and accept losses gracefully. Those who brood over losses always miss the next opportunity, which more than likely will be profitable.
预见到会有亏损,雍容大度地接受亏损。那些对亏损苦思冥想的人总是失去下一个机会,而下一个机会很可能是个赢利的机会。

Have you taken a loss? Forget it quick. If you have taken a profit, forget it quicker. Don’t let ego and greed inhibit clear thinking and hard work.
你输过吗?尽快忘了它。你要是赢过,忘它忘得更快一些。不要让自我和贪婪妨碍清晰的思维和刻苦的工作。

Hope and fear are the two greatest enemies of speculators.
期冀和恐惧是投机者两个最大的敌人。

Identify 'the dominant factor' in each commodity. Be prepared to redefine this factor as conditions change.
找到每一种商品期货里的'决定性因素'。随着情况的变化,随时准备重新判定这一因素。

If a market doesn’t do what you think it should and you are tired of waiting , you had better be out of it.
如果市场所做的不是你认为它应该做的,而你对等待已感到厌倦,你最好退出市场。

If it appears that lots of bulls are long , be nervous!
如果看上去有很多多头在买,你就需要警惕起来。

If you do not know who you are, the market is an expensive place to find out.
如果你对自己缺乏了解,市场是一个昂贵的地方来发现你自己。

If you have a good lead in the market and all the news seems too good to be true you’d better take profits.
如果你在市场上领先一筹,而且所有的消息都好得难以置信,你最好是收回你的盈利,出市走人。

It is a safe bet that the money lost by (short term) speculation is small compared with the gigantic sums lost by those who let their investments (ride). Long term investors are the biggest gamblers as after they make a trade they often times stay with it and end up losing it all. The intelligent trader will . By acting promptly—hold losses to a minimum.
可以这么说,比起那些让他们的投资随波逐流的人所损失的巨额款项来,(短线)的投机所损失的还是小数目。长线投资者在进入交易之后,常常待着不走而最终全都输掉。在这种意义上,他们是最大的赌博者。智慧的交易者,通过及时采取行动,把损失限制在最小的范围内。

It is the big swing that makes the big money for you. It was never my wishing that made the big money for me. It was always my sitting tight. Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon. The market does not beat them. They beat themselves. You must have the courage of your convictions and the intelligent patience to sit tight.
大浪潮为你创造大笔财富。为我带来大笔财富的从来就不是我的祈求。它从来都是因为我坐着不动。能够既正确又坐着不动的人是不多见的。市场打不败他们,打败他们的是他们自己。一定要有坚韧的勇气和智慧的耐心,你才做得到坐着不动?

I like the short side of the market because there is usually less company. The mob is usually wrong. It is usually long.
我喜欢市场看空的一边,因为通常这里人要少一些。蜂拥之众通常是错的,它通常是看多。

In a bull market and particularly in booms, the public at first makes money, which it later looses simply by overstaying the bull market.
在牛市里,特别是在高峰的时候,公众最初赢钱,然后就因为在牛市里停留太长,而全输了回去。

It does not take much capital to trade a market if one has knowledge and understanding. St. Paul said, when I am weak I am strong.
如果你懂得和理解一个市场,做交易并不需要很多资本。圣保尔说过,我在软弱时则强壮。

It is never possible to know everything about anything. A commodity trader is in constant danger.
没有人能够做到万事皆知。从事期货交易总要面临危险。

It is profitable to study your mistakes.
研究你的错误会给你带来利润。

It is the big swing that makes the big money for you. It was never my wishing that made the big money for me. It was always my sitting tight. Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon. The market does not beat them. They beat themselves. You must have the courage of your convictions and the intelligent patience to sit tight.
大浪潮为你创造大笔财富。为我带来大笔财富的从来就不是我的祈求。它从来都是因为我坐着不动。能够既正确又坐着不动的人是不多见的。市场打不败他们,打败他们的是他们自己。一定要有坚韧的勇气和智慧的耐心,你才做得到坐着不动。

Keep some perspective. Trees don’t grow to the sky. Values don’t go to zero. What are histories and recent highs and lows, Loan levels, Loans are not necessarily price floors. CCC selling prices aren’t necessarily price ceilings.
持有你自己的观点。树木长不到天空那么高,价值不会跌到等于零。贷款不一定就是价格的底部。商品信用公司(CCC)的销售价不一定就是价格的顶部。

Keep records of your trading results.
对你的交易结果做好纪录。

Life never happens in a straight line. Any adult knows this. But we can too easily be hypnotized into forgetting it when contemplating a chart. Beware of the chartists illusion.
生活从来就不是一条直线。每一个成年人都知道这一点。可是,当我们在观看图表时太容易被引导得忘掉这一点。警惕图表制作者创造的幻觉。

Limit the risk in any one trade to a maximum of 10% and the risk in all open trades to a maximum of 25% of trading capital. (risk = pct of available capital). Determine this each day, adding profits and subtracting losses in open trades, and combine this net figure with your trading capital.
将你每一手交易的风险控制在百分之十以内。将你所有持仓的交易的总风险控制在最多不超过交易资本的百分之二十五(风险=可用资本的百分比)。每天对此加以计算,在持仓交易中加上盈利,减去亏损,再把这一数字同你的交易资本结合起来。

Losses make the speculator studious——not profits. Take advantage of every loss to improve your knowledge of market action.
赔钱不能赢利,但能使投机者细心钻研。抓住每一次赔钱的机会,改进你对市场行为的了解。

Major trends are seldom broken unless market goes against trend for more than 3 consecutive days.
除非市场连续三天同潮流走反向,主要潮流很少会转移方向。

Maintain a positive attitude no matter how much you lose.
不管你输了多少,保持一个积极的态度。

Never add to a losing position.
不要在输钱的头寸上加码。

Never buy the first rally and never sell the first break.
不要在第一次回升时买进,也不要在第一次下跌时卖出。

Never change your position in the market without a good reason. When you make a trade, let it be for some good reason or according to a definite plan; then do not get out without a definite indication of a change in trend.
除非有充分的理由,不要改变你在市场里的头寸。每做一手交易时,你都要有可以依据的理由或者明确的计划;此后,除非有明确的趋势改变的迹象,不要退出。

Never get out of the market just because you have lost patience or get into the market because you are anxious from waiting.
决不要因为失去耐心而退出市场,也决不要因为迫不及待而进入市场。

Never underestimate how much time is necessary to wash out a market that is long.
不要过低估量需要多少时间清洗一个看多的市场。

Of all speculative blunders, there are few greater than selling what shows a profit and keeping what shows a loss.
在所有为投机而犯的愚蠢的错误里,很少有比卖掉会赚钱、买进要赔钱的更愚蠢的了。

One cannot do anything about yesterday. When one door closes, another door opens. The greater opportunity nearly always lies through the open door.
没有人能改变昨天发生的事。当一扇门关上时,另一扇门就打开了。越过打开的门,往往能找到更大的机会。

Plan your trades and trade your plans.
为你的交易做好计划;按你的计划执行交易。

Prices are made in the minds of men, not in the soybean field: fear and greed can temporarily drive prices far beyond their so called real value.
价格是在人的头脑里订出来的,而不是在大豆田里订出来的。恐惧和贪婪可以把价格暂时推到远离所谓的实际价格之外。

Realize that the big money comes in the big swing. Whatever might seem to give a big swing, its initial impulse, the fact is that no matter who opposes it, the swing must inevitably run as far and as fast and as long as the impelling forces determine.
要意识到大笔钱来自大浪潮。无论什么是看上去会掀起大浪潮的,它最初的鼓动,事实是,不管是谁对抗它,大浪潮都无可避免地必然按照推动它的力量所决定的速度,冲到推动它的力量所决定的远处。

Reevaluate your position in the market if charts have deteriorated and fundamentals have not developed as you expected.
如果图形走弱,而且基本面的发展不像你所预期的那样,重新对你在市场的头寸作估价。

Remember Mark Twain: only 10% of the people think. 10% think they think. The other 80% would rather die than think.
记住马克·土温说的:只有百分之十的人思考,百分之十的人认为他们思考,其余百分之八十的人宁死也不愿思考。

Remember that a bear market will give up in one month what a bull market has taken 3 months to build.
记住,一个月的熊市能让你失去在三个月的牛市中所得到的。

Remember that for many commodities ,politics are more important than economics.
记住,对许多商品来说,政治比经济更重要。

Remember that it’s better to trade a few big moves a year (and close them out profitably) than to trade constantly.
记住,与其不断地交易,不如每年少交易几手(并在赢利时出手)。

Set an objective for each trade you enter and get out when you meet it. Don’t be greedy!
为你的每一手交易设立一个目标,达到目标就出手。不要贪心!

Since there is always the possibility of surprise in thin, dead markets, less capital should be risked there than in markets which are broad and moving.
因为在窄小的、停滞的市场里总有出乎意料的可能,在这样的市场里应该比在宽广的、运动的市场里投入较少的资本来承担风险。

Speech may be silver but Silence is Golden. Traders with the golden touch do not talk.
言谈可能是银子,可沉默是金子。有点金术的交易商稀于言谈。

Split your profits right down the middle and never risk more than 50% of them again in the market.
把你的盈利一分为二,决不拿其中的百分之五十以上再到市场上去冒险。

Stay calm and maintain clear thinking when trading big positions.
交易大宗头寸时,要保持冷静和头脑清醒。

Stops are the key to success for many traders——limit your losses!
设定止损是很多交易者成功的关键——限制你的亏损!

Successful traders have a well scheduled planned time for studying the markets.
成功的交易者有效地规划时间来进行市场研究。

Successful traders buy into bad news & sell into good news.
成功的交易者在坏消息时买,在好消息时卖。

Successful traders set profit objectives for each trade they enter.
成功的交易者为他们所做的每一笔交易都设定有赢利目标。

Successful trading requires four things. Knowledge, disciplined courage, money, and the energy to merge the first 3 properly.
交易要具备四大要素才能成功:知识、控制得当的勇气、金钱以及将这三者妥善结合在一起的精力。

Take a trading break. A break will give you a detached view of the market and a fresh look at yourself and the way you want to trade for the next several weeks.
在交易之中不妨找个时间休息一下。休息一下可以让你站在另一个角度上来看一看市场,让你重新看一看你自己以及你在以后几个星期内想用的交易方法。

The art of concentration can help you become a great trader. In other words, set aside time to think, plan, meditate, investigate, research, analyze, evaluate and select your trades carefully.
专心致志的艺术能够帮助你成为一个杰出的交易者。也就是说,安排出时间来仔细地思考、计划、琢磨、调查、研究、分析、衡量和选择你的交易。

The characteristics of realizing bull market are:
a. a fundamental bullish situation
b. a reluctance by specs to buy
c. an inversion or small carrying charge between cash and futures
d. business interests are either cautious or bullish
识别牛市有下列的特征:
a.从基本面上看,有一个牛市的情势
b.专业商不情愿去买
c.现货同期货之间倒挂或只有少量的持有费用
d.商业兴趣或者是持谨慎态度,或者是看多

The clearest and easiest way to determine a trend is from previous highs and lows. Higher highs and higher lows mark an uptrend, lower highs and lower lows mark a downtrend.
确定市场动向的最清楚和最容易的方法是根据旧高和旧低。高于旧高和旧低标志着向上的走向,低于旧高和旧低标志着朝下的走向。

The deepest secret for the trader is to subordinate his will to the will of the market. The market is truth as it reflects all forces that bear upon it. As long as he recognizes this, he is safe. When he ignores it, he is lost.
对交易者来说,最深的秘密就是放弃自己的意愿,屈从于市场的意愿。市场是真理,它反映出它所承担的所有的力量。只要交易者认识到这一点,他就是安全的。当他忽视这一点时,他就会失败。

The final phase in a bull move is an accelerated runaway near the top. In this phase, the market always makes you believe that you have underestimated the potential bull market. The temptation to continue pyramiding your position is strong as profits have now swelled to the point that you believe your account can stand any setback. It is imperative at this juncture to take profits on your pyramids and reduce the position back to base levels. The base position is then liquidated when it becomes apparent that the move has ended.
一个牛市运动的最后阶段是一场接近顶部的加速赛跑。在这一阶段,市场总是让你相信你低估了潜在的牛市。随着盈利膨胀到让你相信你的账户可以对付任何挫折,继续堆砌你的头寸金字塔的诱惑强大。在这关键的时候,要紧的是从你的金字塔上拿走你的盈利,把你的头寸减少到基本水平。随后,当这一运动变得显然结束了时,将这基本头寸也平仓。

The greatest risk for a commodity trader is to rely on hope alone. Never substitute hope for facts. The greatest loss is loss of self-confidence.
期货交易商的最大的错误就是把一切都寄托在希望上。永远不要用希望来取代事实。自信心的失落是最大的亏损。

The key to successful trading is in knowing yourself and in knowing your stress point.
成功交易的关键是了解你自己以及知道你自己对压力的承受能力。

The man who goes to the top as a commodity trader does not do as he pleases. He has trained himself to choose correctly between the two freedoms: the freedom to do as he pleases, and the freedom to do what he must do.
期货交易高手做事不是随心所欲。他把自己训练得知道怎样在两种自由中作正确的选择:随心所欲的自由和非做不可的自由。

The most difficult task in speculation is not prediction but self-control. Successful trading is difficult and frustrating. You are the most important element in the success equation.
在投机里最难的任务不是预测,而是自我控制。成功的交易是艰难和令人烦恼的交易。在成功的等式里,你是最重要的因素。

The most profitable trading tool is simply following the trend.
最佳的赢利方法就是跟随趋势。

The news always follows the market.
新闻总是尾随市场之后。

The one essential ingredient to making money with money and keeping it is having an organized effort.
用钱来挣钱以及保住钱的一个根本要素是做事要有板有眼。

The real difference between winners and losers is not so much native ability as it is discipline exercised in avoiding mistakes.
成功者和失败者之间的真正区别,与其说是天生的能力,还不如说是在避免错误中表现的有素的训练。

There is only one side to the market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side.
市场只有一种,不是牛市或熊市,而是正确之市。

Trade only when you have a good reason on an appraisal of fundamentals and using chart action for confirmation and timing of entry and exit.
只有当你根据基本面的分析作出估价,运用图表行为加以证实,并策划好入市和出市的时间,只有当这些加在一起为你提供了充足的理由时,再做交易。

Unless you progress, you go backwards. Once you complete a trading goal it is crucial that you immediately set a new goal.
不进则退。要紧的是一旦实现了一个交易目标,你应该立刻设定一个新的目标。

When a market’s gotten away and you’ve missed the first leg you should still consider jumping in even if it is dangerous and difficult.
如果市场已经起步了而你错过了第一轮烽火,你不妨仍然考虑中途介入,即使这样做是危险而困难的。

When the market breaks through a weekly or monthly high, it is a buy signal. When it breaks through the previous weekly or monthly low, it is a sell signal.
当市场穿过一个星期或一个月的高位时,这是买的信号。当它穿过前一星期或前一月低位时,这是卖的信号。

When the ship starts to sink, do not pray—jump!
一旦船开始下沉,不要祈祷——跳船!

Work hard at understanding the key factor(s) motivating the market(s) you are trading. In other words, the harder you work the luckier you’ll be.
交易时,努力去理解那些推动市场的关键因素。换句话说,越努力你就会越幸运。

Worry is not a sickness but a sign of health. If you are not worried, you are not risking enough.
担心不是病状,而是健康的标志。如果你不担心,那就说明你承担的风险还不够。

You cannot perform very well for very long with your shoes nailed to the floor. In trading as in fencing there are the quick and the dead.
你不可能在原地不动而持久地表现出色。交易就像击剑,不是快速运动,就是身败剑下。

gladsun 发表于 2009-9-11 22:51

市场很简单,复杂的是我们自己。

gladsun 发表于 2009-9-11 22:51

市场很简单,复杂的是我们自己。

斑竹 发表于 2009-9-11 23:35

;);)

黑色契约 发表于 2009-9-11 23:49

善战者必不好战 善赢者必不恋战

coco19850113 发表于 2009-9-12 00:44

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